An Oil Slick Operator: Hillary Clinton
In regards to the recent behavior of Hillary Clinton, we have to remember that a candidate is not officially nominated by a political party until the convention officially votes him or her in by a ballot taken at the site. Even if the “won” delegates were locked in to their candidate on the first ballot in the August convention, please notice that because of Hillary’s continued efforts, Obama will not carry enough locked delegates into the convention to win on the first ballot without special delegates, who will not be locked in and could decide to deny him their vote. Because she fought to the end of the primary, the nomination will be up in the air until at the very least after the first ballot.
Senator Clinton is aiming at the nomination this time or, at worst, in 2012. And no matter what he does, Senator Obama will not be certain of the nomination until the deciding vote is officially counted and accepted at the convention, and that depends on what comes out in the next almost three months. (Hillary might just have some blockbuster under wraps.) The super delegates already have a lot to think about.
Hillary has just said that she would be open to consideration as Obama’s vice president, if it will help the Party. I think that she probably doesn’t actually want it, but she wants to cause him problems, and her answer today has stirred things up. The situation is fraught with dangers for both of them, and this is my assessment:
If she did become the VP candidate, and Obama won:
First, as VP she would have little power, and Obama would be able to make her look meaningless by what he makes her do.Second, as VP she and her husband would lose their position of power, and Obama, with Soros and others behind him, would be the power figure.
Third, as VP she would not be in a position to run in 2012. Either Obama would be successful, and be the candidate himself, or he would have a disastrous presidency, and she would be tainted, and it would also make the winner in 2012 more probably the Republican candidate.
Fourth, can you imagine the caustic relationship there will be between Obama’s staff and Hillary’s? Not to mention with the members of the Cabinet? And an ex-President running around with all Bill Clinton’s baggage and escapades? And the fact that no one could shut him up?
The situation, both ways, if Obama lost would be:
First, if she is the VP candidate, she might be blamed for the loss, and that wouldn’t be good for her immediate future, or for 2012. This is a major issue for her.Second, if she is not the VP candidate, she can claim that she would have won. This would give her a power base for 2012, and continuing power in the opposition, against a Republican president. She would be an important figure once again, and it would give an added spice to her revenge against those who have turned on her now.
Third, her offer will allow her to say that she did everything she could to help him win, and at the same time people will blame him even more for any loss.
By her answer today, Hillary has put herself more strongly now into any conversation about the VP choice, and has made any move to deny her the position to be his fault. If she doesn’t get the offer—whether she wants it or not—watch out for the wrath of her true believers!
All this being said, if she does work hard to force herself into the VP nomination during the next few months, It could mean that she has finally decided that the two of them would win, and that once he’s won she can produce a huge hidden super-ugly-problem that will force him out of office, thus making her President. Given the problems already indicated on his side, such a Big Ugly could exist. She would have to determine if she could keep it hidden until after the election. If there is such a Big Ugly, and she thinks that even together they would lose or that she can’t hide it that long, she won’t try to be the VP candidate, and she will use it against him—optimally in October, if it can last that long—to make sure he loses and to clear her way for 2012. Either way, she will make sure it looks like the Republicans have released the information.
If she actually accepts the VP nomination from him, clear the decks. She will try to grab as much power as possible, and it will mean that she thinks there are possibilities worth pursuing. If Obama somehow gets elected, the public will find that he is far more Left than anything they imagined, and the public can move in large numbers when it is really, really upset to make its voice heard.
No matter what happens, Hurricane Hillary is forming as we speak. When and if she makes landfall, who knows what will happen?
Any way you look at it, this will be interesting to watch.
Trackposted to Pet's Garden Blog, The American Nationalist News Service, Outside the Beltway, The Pink Flamingo, The Amboy Times, Faultline USA, , and The World According to Carl, thanks to Linkfest Haven Deluxe.
# Posted by Minta Marie Morze at Tue 3:02 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)
The World According To Carl: Hillary? Concede?